Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.019783 0.022006 0.024227 0.026609 0.029084 0.031575 0.034266
2025-02-16 0.015503 0.019016 0.022659 0.026690 0.030994 0.035429 0.040322
2025-02-23 0.012487 0.016777 0.021375 0.026592 0.032280 0.038240 0.044908
2025-03-02 0.010108 0.014890 0.020180 0.026319 0.033130 0.040363 0.048543
2025-03-09 0.008295 0.013419 0.019264 0.026188 0.033984 0.042355 0.051905
2025-03-16 0.006500 0.011768 0.017991 0.025524 0.034134 0.043479 0.054229
2025-03-23 0.005381 0.010820 0.017446 0.025610 0.035053 0.045386 0.057344
2025-03-30 0.004207 0.009661 0.016557 0.025224 0.035374 0.046574 0.059618
2025-04-06 0.003079 0.008413 0.015466 0.024526 0.035280 0.047251 0.061278
2025-04-13 0.001950 0.006956 0.014001 0.023301 0.034513 0.047117 0.061991
2025-04-20 0.001566 0.006601 0.013938 0.023760 0.035692 0.049170 0.065126
2025-04-27 0.000985 0.005761 0.013164 0.023295 0.035749 0.049916 0.066768
2025-05-04 0.000376 0.004636 0.011999 0.022420 0.035444 0.050405 0.068319
2025-05-11 0.000122 0.004091 0.011646 0.022600 0.036447 0.052455 0.071704
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003479 0.011124 0.022525 0.037117 0.054104 0.074619
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002857 0.010503 0.022273 0.037538 0.055435 0.077149
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002356 0.010007 0.022151 0.038092 0.056901 0.079810
2025-06-08 NaN 0.001737 0.009188 0.021532 0.037993 0.057569 0.081530
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001424 0.008885 0.021613 0.038755 0.059242 0.084395
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001023 0.008301 0.021253 0.038934 0.060202 0.086416
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000618 0.007552 0.020605 0.038713 0.060663 0.087837
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000227 0.006526 0.019467 0.037818 0.060282 0.088253
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000163 0.006518 0.019893 0.038966 0.062369 0.091550